Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.000547 0.000632 0.000722 0.000825 0.000940 0.001062 0.001203
2025-06-15 0.000413 0.000528 0.000661 0.000822 0.001013 0.001230 0.001492
2025-06-22 0.000342 0.000470 0.000624 0.000821 0.001062 0.001346 0.001701
2025-06-29 0.000285 0.000418 0.000586 0.000809 0.001094 0.001438 0.001882
2025-07-06 0.000239 0.000373 0.000550 0.000793 0.001113 0.001511 0.002035
2025-07-13 0.000214 0.000353 0.000542 0.000811 0.001174 0.001635 0.002254
2025-07-20 0.000192 0.000333 0.000532 0.000823 0.001225 0.001746 0.002458
2025-07-27 0.000167 0.000305 0.000509 0.000814 0.001246 0.001817 0.002611
2025-08-03 0.000144 0.000278 0.000483 0.000800 0.001257 0.001873 0.002743
2025-08-10 0.000130 0.000264 0.000475 0.000809 0.001301 0.001974 0.002936
2025-08-17 0.000116 0.000248 0.000462 0.000810 0.001332 0.002057 0.003106
2025-08-24 0.000099 0.000223 0.000433 0.000784 0.001322 0.002082 0.003197
2025-08-31 0.000083 0.000201 0.000406 0.000760 0.001313 0.002109 0.003292
2025-09-07 0.000074 0.000188 0.000394 0.000757 0.001337 0.002182 0.003455
2025-09-14 0.000065 0.000176 0.000383 0.000755 0.001361 0.002256 0.003618
2025-09-21 0.000057 0.000162 0.000367 0.000745 0.001371 0.002309 0.003751
2025-09-28 0.000049 0.000148 0.000349 0.000729 0.001371 0.002347 0.003864
2025-10-05 0.000045 0.000145 0.000350 0.000747 0.001425 0.002465 0.004095
2025-10-12 0.000042 0.000140 0.000348 0.000758 0.001468 0.002569 0.004307
2025-10-19 0.000036 0.000130 0.000336 0.000750 0.001479 0.002622 0.004445
2025-10-26 0.000031 0.000119 0.000321 0.000736 0.001479 0.002659 0.004559
2025-11-02 0.000028 0.000115 0.000318 0.000744 0.001518 0.002757 0.004765
2025-11-09 0.000025 0.000109 0.000312 0.000745 0.001543 0.002833 0.004940